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The New York State of Cannabis Market in 2026

November 19, 2025
January 6, 2025
| Updated
November 19, 2025

Have you ever wondered, "Is cannabis legal in NY?" The answer is yes! To understand the current landscape, let's explore how that came to be.

The New York State of Cannabis Market in 2025
Buddy loves New York!

Three dates hold extreme significance for the NY cannabis industry: 2014, 2016, and 2021. The first marked the moment when Governor Andrew M. Cuomo signed the Compassionate Care Act into law, establishing a legal framework for the Medical Marijuana Program that approved non-smokable forms of cannabis for use by registered patients.

In 2016, the Medical Marijuana Program officially began, expanding the list of products and qualifying conditions for which cannabis could be prescribed. 

Then, on March 31, 2021, the Marihuana Regulation & Taxation Act (MRTA) was formally adopted, legalizing the possession, consumption, and sale of recreational or "adult-use" cannabis.

emerging cannabis markets

Besides making NY the 15th state to authorize adult-use cannabis, the MRTA marked a significant shift in the socioeconomic landscape. This legislation established a regulated cannabis industry and brought new opportunities to enter a robust and competitive market, generate tax revenue, and promote social and economic justice.

Legalization also changed public perception of cannabis use, leading to reduced stigma and increased social acceptance. Additionally, it created numerous new jobs and made a positive contribution to the state's infrastructure development. 

Today, the NY cannabis industry continues to evolve and grow. This ongoing transformation suggests that 2026 has great potential to be another important year for this market!

Regulatory Updates

Since the legalization of cannabis in NY, this industry has been subject to significant regulatory changes. Some of the recent updates include the following:

2023:

emerging cannabis markets

2024:

  • NY set a flat rate of 9% for taxation on the sale or transfer of adult-use cannabis between distributors and retailers.
  • Distributors with microbusiness or RO licenses who sell adult-use cannabis at the retail level became subject to a 9% tax on 75% of the amount charged for the transaction.
  • The New York State Budget Bill reduced the medical cannabis tax from 7% to 3.5%.
  • Governor Kathy Hochul announced the state's plans to increase its crackdown on unlicensed cannabis operations, aiming to protect the legal market. New investments encouraged the OCM and localities to close down illicit storefronts that pose a threat to public health and safety, as well as to penalize landlords who knowingly allow illegal cannabis activity on their properties.
  • Governor Hochul mentioned the plan to expand the authority of the OCM, the Attorney General (AG), cities, counties, and any authorized local corporation counsel or government to regulate unlicensed cannabis businesses within their jurisdictions (prior service of a notice of violation is no longer necessary to require the immediate cessation of unlicensed cannabis-related activities). The initiative was also intended to give New York City immediate enforcement powers to identify and shut down illegal storefronts.
emerging cannabis markets
emerging cannabis markets

2025: 

  • The OCM set a requirement that all licensees must use an electronic inventory tracking system capable of integrating with BioTrack by June 15, with a staggered integration timeline expected to start on August 1.
  • NY launched a mandatory, no-cost online Responsible Workforce Training (RWT) program, developed in partnership with the Department of Labor (NYSDOL). All workers in the cannabis industry were required to complete the training. 
  • After becoming law, the Fiscal Year 2025 Budget expanded the power of the OCM and local governments to padlock and issue fines against unlicensed storefronts selling cannabis.
  • The Board approved a resolution extending all provisional CAURD and adult-use licenses through December 21, 2026, to give licensees more time to secure viable retail locations. 
  • Licensed cannabis cultivators were required to submit their benchmark report to the OCM's PowerScore platform (a mandate established in 2024 for tracking energy, water, and waste consumption) by August 31.
  • The Supreme Court of New York granted an injunction that blocked the OCM's stricter re-interpretation of the school proximity rule (changing the measurement from "door-to-door" to "property line"), which had threatened to close or relocate over 150 licensed dispensaries. It'll remain in effect through February 15, 2026. 
  • The Board approved 46 new adult-use licenses on September 9, 2025, bringing the total of licenses issued to 1,904. 
  • The Board instructed the OCM to release for public comment proposed revisions to the Packaging, Labeling, Marketing, and Advertising (PLMA) regulations (Parts 128 and 129). The deadline to submit comments is October 10, 2025. 
  • All deadlines for the integration with BioTrack were paused in August 2025, following the announcement of a strategic partnership between BioTrack and Metrc.
  • The OCM announced the decision to transition to Metrc as NY's official seed-to-sale software. 
  • Working closely with Metrc, the OCM developed a new implementation timeline, with a target date of December 17 for all licensees to be in the Metrc system. Implementation is currently underway, with critical milestones—including licensee credentialing, tag ordering, and submitting initial inventory—scheduled to start in November and December.
emerging cannabis markets

While these regulatory updates intensify efforts to curb unlicensed cannabis sales, they also make it easier for eligible businesses to obtain a cannabis license in NY.

As new regulations and changes come into effect, the OCM continues to develop public awareness campaigns and other initiatives to streamline the licensing process, protect the legal marketplace, and educate consumers about responsible cannabis use.

Licensing Challenges and Opportunities

NY provides a platform for entrepreneurs eager to enter this competitive industry. Due to legalization, for example, there's a big chance to sell cannabis-infused products, such as edibles or drinks. Tourist dollars and tax revenue can also benefit both businesses and the state.

emerging cannabis markets

But there are some challenges. Many business owners think the government is creating unnecessary hurdles in the licensing process and making it hard to launch operations in the NY cannabis market.

Growers are also struggling to start up due to high costs and strict rules. For instance, the Cannabis Farmers Alliance filed a lawsuit criticizing the OCM's licensing rollout and claiming that other licensees have an advantage over them because of the current regulations, which can fuel the OG market.

Market Growth and Trends

To gain valuable insights into the NY cannabis industry, let's dive into experts' growth projections and the key trends shaping the market.

Projected Market Growth for Cannabis in NY

The NY cannabis market is still changing, but that hasn't slowed its growth—it's quite the opposite, actually. Industry experts project that it can surpass $4 billion in annual sales in the near future.

emerging cannabis markets

Citing Whitney Economics' latest figures, the Green Market Report estimated that the state's cannabis market can reach a staggering $6 billion in the next two years, with sales exceeding $3.3 billion by 2027 and $4.5 billion annually by the end of the decade as more legal retail stores open.

Projections from Headset Data were also very optimistic. The cannabis market data company anticipated over $2.8 billion in combined medical and adult-use cannabis sales in 2025.

Legal cannabis sales surpassed $1 billion in 2024, a substantial jump from earlier, more conservative forecasts that had predicted a target of $800 million for the year. And just a few months after that, NY exceeded all expectations again.

The OCM recently announced that retail sales in the state have reached $2.09 billion since the program's launch, and $1.06 billion of that sum has been generated in 2025 alone. This milestone, achieved with 464 adult-use dispensaries open, highlights the strong consumer demand and growing adoption of the regulated market.

These numbers are so close to the 2023 estimates from cannabis intelligence firm BDSA, which predicted that the state's legal cannabis sales might reach at least $2.5 billion by 2027 with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 71%, leading the industry's expansion nationwide alongside other new markets, such as New Jersey and Missouri.

Such encouraging projections underscore the rapid ascension anticipated for the NY cannabis industry in the coming years. Sales of cannabis-infused beverages, edibles, and wellness products are expected to increase. Plus, more businesses will likely integrate e-commerce and B2B platforms like DistruCommerce for added convenience, which may attract a broader consumer base and drive market growth even further.

emerging cannabis markets

Key Trends

Different trends have influenced the NY cannabis market, but the following two are expected to play a major role in the coming years:

  • A Shift Toward More Innovative and Diverse Product Options: Flower is still the most popular category in NY, accounting for around 33% of sales. However, more and more consumers—especially health-conscious individuals and those who want to experiment with innovative consumption methods—are choosing other products, prioritizing those that offer discretion and convenience. The second, third, and fourth largest parts of the total retail sales in 2025 were vapor pens, pre-rolls, and edibles. BDSA also found that, although still a small segment, cannabis beverages saw an 8% increase in sales across tracked markets between the second quarter of 2023 and the same period in 2024.
  • Focus on Health and Wellness: CBD-infused products are gaining popularity as well, as more consumers prefer holistic health solutions and look for options that offer relaxation and stress relief without the psychoactive effects of THC. This article by The New Yorker describes how this trend can promote calmness and help improve well-being.
emerging cannabis markets

Impact of Cannabis Tourism in NY

Cannabis tourism is a thing. Many people travel to places where marijuana is legal for both recreational and/or medical use in order to purchase or consume it, which can bring economic expansion and increased revenue.

Major urban centers in this state, such as New York City, are experiencing significant growth in cannabis tourism and leveraging all the benefits that come with this trend.

These destinations are now adding cannabis experiences to their travel plans and organizing more cannabis-friendly events. Leafly has listed the best cannabis-friendly experiences in NY, including shopping at innovative local dispensaries, classes for the focused-curious, exhibits, and more.

Social Equity and Inclusion

Social and Economic Equity (SEE) is a major factor in the NY cannabis industry. The OCM and the state have implemented several initiatives to address historical cannabis-related injustices and create opportunities for marginalized communities. The most important are:

  • Conditional Adult-Use Retail Dispensary (CAURD) Licenses: This license type, which is no longer accepting applications, was specifically designed for individuals from communities that were disproportionately impacted by the War on Drugs and for justice-involved persons, meaning those who were convicted of a marijuana-related offense in the state before March 31, 2021, or have a spouse, child, parent or legal guardian, or dependent who was.
  • Social Equity Cannabis Investment Fund: This fund, which is currently exhausted, was created to provide support to CAURD license holders who needed financial assistance in order to secure a location for their retail dispensary or to launch their operations.
  • Cannabis Compliance Training and Mentorship (CCTM): Through this program, which isn't being offered at this time, the OCM offered structured webinars on relevant cannabis-related topics, such as cultivation, processing, regulatory compliance, and agribusiness management. The content specifically targeted people with advanced horticultural or manufacturing experience and had a strong focus on the adult-use market.
  • Cannabis Hub & Incubator Program (CHIP): Through this program, which is still ongoing, SEE applicants can receive assistance and get equipped with the knowledge, information, and tools necessary to complete the highly technical and document-intensive application process.
  • Retail Accelerator: Before awarding the first SEE licenses, the OCM partnered with "Our Academy" to provide immersive training and mentorship to holders, with a curriculum that covers several key aspects related to opening and operating a retail cannabis business. It's a regular part of the OCM's permanent support services.
emerging cannabis markets

Investment Landscape

Thanks to its large population of people over 21 and its progressive laws, NY has become a substantial market for cannabis products. Paired with the state's SEE initiatives and strong regulatory environment, this presents a prime opportunity to thrive in this industry.

As we mentioned, 2025 was a great year for NY. In August, the state reported a rise of 62.2% in cannabis sales and an increase of 87.0% in units sold compared to the previous period. Just one year later, sales surpassed $2 billion. 

These numbers will likely continue to skyrocket through 2026 as the OCM completes the integration of Metrc. 

NY has also placed a strong emphasis on sustainability. Aiming to create a cannabis industry that is environmentally responsible and socially conscious, the OCM has launched several initiatives to promote sustainable practices, including:

  • Energy use standards and emissions management
  • Waste minimization
  • Sustainable packaging
  • Protection of air, water, and land
  • Water conservation
  • Resource tracking and reporting (via PowerScore)

Such a favorable environment and the promising growth projections mentioned above regularly attract many investors to NY. However, it's important to understand its unique and complex regulatory framework.

Vertical integration is a common strategy among businesses across other states. Many cannabis operators choose to participate in the entire supply chain and engage in multiple activities at the same time—such as cultivation, processing, and retail—to streamline processes, reduce costs, and maximize efficiencies.

Contrastingly, NY seeks to prevent market monopolization and promote a diverse landscape. The state's cannabis regulations prohibit vertical integration for most licenses, except for microbusinesses (which are fully integrated but limited in scale) and ROs from the medical program (which retain integrated operations in the adult-use market).

emerging cannabis markets

Challenges and Opportunities

Although the market is promising, operating a cannabis business in NY comes with several challenges, including:

  • The regulatory landscape is complex, which can potentially hinder business operations and increase compliance costs.
  • Although some changes were announced, NY still imposes high taxes on cannabis products, which can impact profitability.
  • The state's OG market is still strong and offers lower prices and constant availability, which can erode the competitiveness of the legal market.
  • Due to federal restrictions, NY cannabis businesses have limited access to traditional banking and financial services.

Despite these challenges, the NY cannabis market still offers many opportunities for innovation and growth, such as:

  • Businesses can produce and sell a variety of cannabis products (edibles, beverages, topicals, etc.) to attract customers looking for new experiences.
  • With well-thought-out and effective marketing strategies, cannabis operators can differentiate themselves in the competitive marketplace. By leveraging the latest technological solutions, such as Artificial Intelligence (AI) and automation, businesses can optimize tracking and traceability, ensure accurate reporting, and streamline operations.
  • Through SEE programs, designed to address historical disparities, marginalized communities and individuals can gain new opportunities to enter and succeed in this industry.
emerging cannabis markets

Consumer Insights: NY Cannabis Market

To better understand the NY cannabis market, let's explore the following consumer insights:

Consumer Demographics and Behavior

According to the latest Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Cannabis Use Report issued by the New York State Department of Health, 14.7% of adults report having used cannabis in the past 30 days. Nearly half of these individuals use it daily or at least 20 days per month.

Cannabis consumption prevalence differs significantly between counties, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.7% to a high of 25.1%.

The largest group of adult consumers, 54.5%, use cannabis for non-medical reasons only, while 15.0% use it solely for medical purposes. Smoking (61.9%), eating/edibles (18.1%), and vaporizing (16.5%) are the most preferred consumption methods in this group.

Marketing Strategies

Consumer preferences are evolving, and so are marketing strategies. Cannabis businesses are adapting their campaigns to the latest trends to try and appeal to different segments.

For instance, as we previously explained, people are now more interested in health and wellness products. In response, cannabis operators are focusing on the benefits that CBD and other non-psychoactive compounds offer.

Educational marketing is also changing the way businesses promote cannabis goods. Today's customers are more discerning about what they're consuming, so they seek information about their ingredients or effects.

Businesses that provide transparent, accurate details about their cannabis products and pay attention to consumer trends can build trust and loyalty, drive more sales, and succeed in this industry.

emerging cannabis markets

Final Thoughts: Future Outlook

The NY cannabis industry has experienced major growth, already hitting a critical mass of $1 billion in annual sales. Forecasts project an even stronger performance, with sales figures anticipated to reach new heights by 2026. 

Potential federal legalization remains a significant driver for future expansion. While adult-use cannabis is legal statewide, there's room for increased availability, innovation, and product diversity. 

Local regulations may also continue to evolve, impacting other essential aspects, such as dispensary locations and operating hours, prices, and tax rates.

Additionally, New York's robust tourism industry may further stimulate demand for cannabis products, particularly in popular destinations, driving more investment and boosting sales.

In the meantime, it's important for cannabis operators to stay updated on the latest developments and regulatory changes. So, be sure to follow industry news, educate yourself on changing regulations, and consult with experts when necessary.

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